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Economy and the market
Experts optimistically about Poland
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UNECE (United Nations Economy Council Europe) Timber Committee forecasts a slight increase in the consumption and sale of timber products in Europe in 2012. Germany and Poland are expected to be the green islands on the wood-oriented map of Europe. Each such increase gives rise to optimism although the forecasts do not guarantee it. So is the case with the assumptions regarding an increase in the consumption of wood products in the territory of Europe, North America, Russian Federation, former USSR, released during the annual meeting of UNECE Timber Committee in Antalya, Turkey. In 2011 an increase around 0.8% was reported, but in 2012 it will exceed 1%. At the same time, the production is estimated to increase by 1.5% and 1.7% respectively, which, compared to the former figures, is not an equally positive news.  
Konsumpcja i produkcja tarcicy iglastej w wybranych krajach. Prognoza na 2012 r. rdo: UNECE
According to the results of a UNECE report, the production of softwood may increase in Poland in 2012 by ca. 100,000 m3, which seems a fairly conservative forecast given the new investments to be launched in Poland, e.g. of the Swedspan Group or KPPD, as well as the announced increases in the costs of planned processing, e.g. in the TPPD Group. UNECE experts estimate that this year Polish sawmills will produce ca. 4 million m3 of softwood, whereas the demand will be marginally higher, amounting to 4.06 million m3.



With regards to hardwood, experts forecast for this year in Poland considerably higher demand over supply: 615,000 m3 vs. 480,000 m3. A small part of the domestic production will be sold abroad (95,000 m3), but, according to the forecasts, the increased demand will be satisfied by import of ca. 220,000 m3, mostly from the East. 


Despite the negative impact of the economic crisis on construction in Europe, experts claim that in Poland the demand for wood-based panels is on the increase. The most optimistic estimations concern particle boards (without OSB), the demand for which may increase as much as by 4%, from 4.8 million to 5 million m3. Thus, Poland will become the second largest
Magorzata Wnorowska
malgorzata.wnorowska@gpd24.pl
tel. 519 516 102

Experts optimistically about Poland

UNECE (United Nations Economy Council Europe) Timber Committee forecasts a slight increase in the consumption and sale of timber products in Europe in 2012. Germany and Poland are expected to be the green islands on the wood-oriented map of Europe. Each such increase gives rise to optimism although the forecasts do not guarantee it. So is the case with the assumptions regarding an increase in the consumption of wood products in the territory of Europe, North America, Russian Federation, former USSR, released during the annual meeting of UNECE Timber Committee in Antalya, Turkey. In 2011 an increase around 0.8% was reported, but in 2012 it will exceed 1%. At the same time, the production is estimated to increase by 1.5% and 1.7% respectively, which, compared to the former figures, is not an equally positive news.  According to the results of a UNECE report, the production of softwood may increase in Poland in 2012 by ca. 100,000 m3, which seems a fairly conservative forecast given the new investments to be launched in Poland, e.g. of the Swedspan Group or KPPD, as well as the announced increases in the costs of planned processing, e.g. in the TPPD Group. UNECE experts estimate that this year Polish sawmills will produce ca. 4 million m3 of softwood, whereas the demand will be marginally higher, amounting to 4.06 million m3.



With regards to hardwood, experts forecast for this year in Poland considerably higher demand over supply: 615,000 m3 vs. 480,000 m3. A small part of the domestic production will be sold abroad (95,000 m3), but, according to the forecasts, the increased demand will be satisfied by import of ca. 220,000 m3, mostly from the East. 


Despite the negative impact of the economic crisis on construction in Europe, experts claim that in Poland the demand for wood-based panels is on the increase. The most optimistic estimations concern particle boards (without OSB), the demand for which may increase as much as by 4%, from 4.8 million to 5 million m3. Thus, Poland will become the second largest